Saturday, 4 January 2014


The assasinated former Rwandan Spy chief's burial in Uganda will be a private function that will be adequately funded by the family and friends. The only cost that the Uganda government may incur is to provide security to thousands of mourners at both the Church service if allowed to take place in Kampala and burial in Mbarara. For the hotel industry, it is big business. Another indirect cost would take the form of some goverment officials taking leave to attend the burial. However some may painfully shunn the burial in order to appease Kigali. Gen. Saleh, Gen Kale Kayihura, Gen Aronda, Gen Angina, Gen Muntu, Gen. Besigye, Brig Mugira, Brig Gwanga (whom he used to send money for Waragi), and many other very senior and junior serving and retired army officers would wish to physically say farewell to 'the man of thd people'. Patrick was a rare breed of Rwandese; he made friends with all sorts of people regardless of ethinic and social standing. From West Nile through Acholiland to Karamoja and Teso, Patric has personal friends and not necessarily intelligence agents. By character, he matched Gen Salim Saleh and no wonder they were close friends.

Given his high level connections and popularity in Uganda, Museveni could not stand the presure to have Patrick burried in Uganda. Having been charismatic, charming, generous, humane, humble, and a highly connected individual, Patrick had won more friends than enemies. These friends can't abondon his body on the battle front where he met his death. The masterminders of his assasination must have prefered to see his body quietly burried by Johanesburg city council workers in a public cementary. The international attention that has been generated by Patrick's assasination is giving Kigali a second thought though with no regrets. Security forces in Kigali must be on standby class one (full alert). The traumatised general population in Rwanda must be under an implied decree not to publicly mourn for a murdered 'terrorist'. Who can even dare travel from Rwanda to attend the burial in Uganda! Watch the traffic flow from Rwanda to Uganda during the funeral period. Kigali's intelligence agents must be taking positions in Kampala to cover the funeral with the mission of assessing the extent of Patrick's connection. Andrew Mwenda will supplement such efforts with his journalistic skills. For those who physically executed the assassination, they must be with Patrick in death now - thats the rule of the game.

Museveni must have had a tough choice to make. The descent burial of Patrick in Uganda coupled by the allegation that he carried a Ugandan passport, may once again rapture the fragile and cosmetic Andrew Mwenda innitiated Kampala/Kigali imroved relations. Such a decision places Kigali in an awkward position as whether to send a government delegation or not. The Ambassador will obviously attend in his private capacity. Patrick's diaspora based RNC colleagues would obviously wish to to attend the burial but Uganda fearing to annoy Kigali may stop them on pretext that they cant guarantee their security. However, unlike in the past, no serious Uganda opposition can seek backing from Kigali again. Patrick's death also marks the end of a small bond between Rwanda and some prominent Ugandans that had remained after the death of Fred Rwigyema. For Museveni, Patrick was a smart 'bad boy' who gave him real hard time during the Uganda/Rwanda standoff but he had later reformed and has died at a time when he was no longer a threat to him.

For the Rwanda opposition, the best way to honour Patrick is to ACT NOW.


Thursday, 2 January 2014


Finally Kigali has succedded in eliminating Patrick Karegeya. No doubt, by assasinating Karegeya implies that the struggle for dislodging Kagame is extended to more than a decade behind. For Kagame, among all opposed to his governance, its only Karegeya who gave him real sleepless nights. Kagame must have celebrated the new year as the happiest man on planet earth. Though Junior to Gen Kayumba the former army chief, Karegeya was the No. 1 on Kagame's list of wanted dissidents. The earlier assasination attempt on Kayumba Nyamwasa must have been a desperate move out of frustrations after failing to get Karegeya. The monetary cost of his assassination must have been the equivallency of the budget of three ministries in the Rwanda government. If the Rwanda exiles were planning to use force to dislolge Kagame, it was Karegeya who was the brain behind such plans.

Patrick, as populary known, had the exceptional capacity to gather intelligence inside Rwanda upto inside Kagame's trouser pockets. He had the capacity to rally the support and services of not only regional intelligence agencies but major world intelligence bodies. He was a genus in as far as the intelligence craft is concerned. That is why despite being a senior and founding member of the dissident RNC, he had no specific clear assignment thus a master of covert intelligence activities.

Though a refugee he was brought up in a well to do family that owned a ranch Mbarara. After studying Law at Makerere, he was arrested on the way to joining Museveni's NRA guerrillas. He was being taken by NRA's contact Aston Kajara (now a Minister) but was betrayed by a senior Muganda Prisons Officer. Around 2003 Patrick told Mayombo to remind Museveni about Aston Kajara. He was kept in Luzira prison till 1985 following the Okello Lutwa coup. Patrick stright away headed for Museveni's NRA. After takeover, Patrick became a Sgt and an ADC to the DMI - Mugisha Muntu at Basima House. By 1989, Patrick was a Lt and an Asst. Director in charge of Counter Intelligence. At the time, Paul Kagame was a Major and an Assistand Director for Personnel, Administration and Finance. Under Patrick was Sgt Jack Nziza, who occupied room 14 next to Patrick's room 15 at Basiima house.

Patrick's charisma and humour distinguished him from other Rwandese who were being resented by members of the NRA. As a Lawyer but moreso his unique character enabled him to mix and be accepted by ugandans more than other Rwandese. He was close to Senior counsel Kakuru and Geofrey Rugazora of Castro Uganda among many others. He had alot of connections outside the NRA that enabled him to lead a descent life unlike ordinary NRA Leutenants. He had his own money and never encroached on the megre office funds. He lived in a post house in Muyenga next to Hotel Diplomate. It is this unique character that afforded Patrick an upper hand in terms of intelligence gathering during the Uganda/Rwanda conflict of the early 2000s.

Patrick was instrumental in the founding, preparations of the RPF attack, and moblisation of resources for the RPF. Shortly after the RPF invasion, Patrick was moved from DMI and deployed to thd NRA Anti-smuggling unit as the Admin Officer under Col. Andrew Lutaya while at the sametime spearheading the external wing of the RPF 4 years war. After the fall of Kigali, Patrick moved to Rwanda and became the Director of External Security. For over a decade he built a vibrant intelligence aparatus that made a name for Rwanda at a time when the RPF faced imminent danger from dissidents based in the region and beyond.

Patrick resident in Kiyovu with his wife Lea and three children. His parents remained in Uganda where his father died in 2004. He has a cousin who is a very senior Museveni government official. Patrick is the only Rwandese officer who went to Rwanda with a Muganda driver and retained him for decades. All the others including President Kagame had to deport their drivers after gruesome mistreatment.

During the Uganda/Rwanda clashes, Patrick would recieve hard copies of intelligence reports meant for Museveni hours before Museveni could recieve them. At the height of the conflict, Museveni described Patrick as a "bad boy". Patrick was instrumental in sustaining the Uganda dissident PRA. He availed them with all the intelligence they needed. Museveni believes that Patrick assisted Dr. Besigye to escape to South Africa. Patrick availed Dr. Besigye timely and accurate intelligence from Uganda that the Doctor would stunn Kampala with during radio talk shows. He brought Andrew Mwenda closf to Kagame but the time of his death he described Mwenda as "HOPELESS". He was close to Uganda politicians like Betty Bigombe and others. He was a close friend of Gen Saleh with whom he maintained regular contacts even during the conflict. It is this closeness to Uganda that Museveni exploited to antagonise Patrick with Kagame leading to a fall out eventual exile.