Unless Rwanda's dissidents do what Museveni did to Tanzania and Iddi Amin, they are headed for doom

UNLESS RWANDA'S DISSIDENTS DO WHAT MUSEVENI DID TO TANZANIA AND IDDI AMIN, THEY ARE HEADED FOR DOOM

"Your Excellency Paul Kagame,
Greetings from the people of Uganda and from myself. I am writing to let you know that by accident, I, at last, had a meeting with a Rwandan who admitted to being a member of the group you told me about — Rwanda National Congress (RNC). This is a lady known as Mukankusi, whom, I am sure you know, but I had never met before...........

She said she wanted me to know bad things that were happening in Rwanda. She further told me that she had joined the RNC to resist Your Excellency’s Government and she wanted us to support them. I told her that we could not support them because what was happening in Rwanda was an internal matter of Rwanda. I explained to her that the stand of the African Union is a scientific one and it is correct. Interfering in the internal affairs of sister countries is wrong because, first of all, outsiders cannot understand situations of sister countries well.

They can make mistakes. Secondly, those mutual interferences in one another’s internal affairs will interfere with the bigger normal, non-controversial, State to State activities — trade, transport, etc. It is, therefore, correct to only concentrate on bilateral or multilateral issues and never involve oneself in the internal affairs of other countries. She was disappointed with my reply and I told her that I will inform you in writing."

The above is an extract from Museveni's recent letter to Rwanda's Paul Kagame. He was attempting to dupe Kagame over the open secret that he supports Rwanda's dissidents.

When Iddi Amin took power in 1971, the deposed President Milton Obote and a number of his followers went to exile in Tanzania which refused to recognise the new military government in Kampala. Tanzania offered full support to the Ugandan armed exile groups in their bid to overthrow the Iddi Amin government. The first Tanzania supported open attack by Ugandan exiles was devastatingly defeated by Iddi Amin in 1972. A sustained diplomatic row between Uganda and Tanzania continued and partly accounts for the breakup of the East African Community.

However, amidst immense pressure by the international community coupled by own internal problems, by 1976 Tanzania had almost banned any form of assistance to the Ugandan dissidents. The militants were confined at Kigwa refugee camp in Tabora while Museveni took up a teaching job at Moshi Cooperative College. However, Museveni maintained his clandestine missions inside Uganda designed to undermine the Iddi Amin government. One such mission was to provoke a cross border clash between the armies of the two countries at Mutukula. The scheme worked and the two armies went to war and the rest is history.

Rwandan dissidents who have so much confidence in Museveni's backing don't want to see him backing down in the face of Kagame's firm stand. They strongly believe that a fully blown military confrontation between Kagame and Museveni, will witness the former deflated within 24 hours. However, from the tone of Museveni's recent letter, it looks like he is dancing to Kagame's tune. Empty threats aside, Museveni is not very certain of a military victory over Kagame.

Being a power hungry coward, once cornered, Museveni won't hesitate to abandon the Rwandan dissidents in order to salvage his hold on power. This was the case with Kenya's Col. Odong, Burundi's Bagaza, CAR's Bozize and several Congolese armed groups. Therefore, unless the Rwandan dissidents with the help of their Bahima clique plot a scheme that will lead to the two countries going to war, they may be headed for doom. The scheme worked for Museveni between Iddi Amin and Tanzania and it may as well work for them.

Watch the space.

INFORMATION IS POWER AND THE PROBLEM OF UGANDA IS MUSEVENISM
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